During WWII, the U.S. government censored the weather Even baseball rain delays went unexplained. A World War II poster, created for the War Production Board around 1942-1943, declares "Weather is a weapon." Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent every weekday. The call went out from WREC's studios in downtown Memphis at 6:57 p.m. Central War Time: Doctors and nurses were urgently needed in communities south and west of the city. That was all the information the station was allowed to provide, despite the ongoing threat.

Accurately predicting the drift (displacement) of leeway objects in maritime environments remains a critical challenge, particularly in time-sensitive scenarios such as search and rescue operations. In this study, we propose a multi-modal machine learning framework that integrates Sentence Transformer embeddings with attention-based sequence-to-sequence architectures to predict the drift of leeway objects in water. We begin by experimentally collecting environmental and physical data, including water current and wind velocities, object mass, and surface area, for five distinct leeway objects. Using simulated data from a Navier-Stokes-based model to train a convolutional neural network on geometrical image representations, we estimate drag and lift coefficients of the leeway objects. These coefficients are then used to derive the net forces responsible for driving the objects' motion. The resulting time series, comprising physical forces, environmental velocities, and object-specific features, combined with textual descriptions encoded via a language model, are inputs to attention-based sequence-to-sequence long-short-term memory and Transformer models, to predict future drift trajectories. We evaluate the framework across multiple time horizons ($1$, $3$, $5$, and $10$ seconds) and assess its generalization across different objects. We compare our approach against a fitted physics-based model and traditional machine learning methods, including recurrent neural networks and temporal convolutional neural networks. Our results show that these multi-modal models perform comparably to traditional models while also enabling longer-term forecasting in place of single-step prediction. Overall, our findings demonstrate the ability of a multi-modal modeling strategy to provide accurate and adaptable predictions of leeway object drift in dynamic maritime conditions.

Storm surge forecasting plays a crucial role in coastal disaster preparedness, yet existing machine learning approaches often suffer from limited spatial resolution, reliance on coastal station data, and poor generalization. Moreover, many prior models operate directly on unstructured spatial data, making them incompatible with modern deep learning architectures. In this work, we introduce a novel approach that projects unstructured water elevation fields onto structured Red Green Blue (RGB)-encoded image representations, enabling the application of Convolutional Long Short Term Memory (ConvLSTM) networks for end-to-end spatiotemporal surge forecasting. Our model further integrates ground-truth wind fields as dynamic conditioning signals and topo-bathymetry as a static input, capturing physically meaningful drivers of surge evolution. Evaluated on a large-scale dataset of synthetic storms in the Gulf of Mexico, our method demonstrates robust 48-hour forecasting performance across multiple regions along the Texas coast and exhibits strong spatial extensibility to other coastal areas. By combining structured representation, physically grounded forcings, and scalable deep learning, this study advances the frontier of storm surge forecasting in usability, adaptability, and interpretability.

Accurate vessel trajectory prediction is crucial for navigational safety, route optimization, traffic management, search and rescue operations, and autonomous navigation. Traditional data-driven models lack real-world physical constraints, leading to forecasts that disobey vessel motion dynamics, such as in scenarios with limited or noisy data where sudden course changes or speed variations occur due to external factors. To address this limitation, we propose a Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN) approach for trajectory prediction that integrates a streamlined kinematic model for vessel motion into the neural network training process via a first- and second-order, finite difference physics-based loss function. This loss function, discretized using the first-order forward Euler method, Heun's second-order approximation, and refined with a midpoint approximation based on Taylor series expansion, enforces fidelity to fundamental physical principles by penalizing deviations from expected kinematic behavior. We evaluated PINN using real-world AIS datasets that cover diverse maritime conditions and compared it with state-of-the-art models. Our results demonstrate that the proposed method reduces average displacement errors by up to 32% across models and datasets while maintaining physical consistency. These results enhance model reliability and adherence to mission-critical maritime activities, where precision translates into better situational awareness in the oceans.

Scientists often search for phenomena of interest while exploring new environments. Autonomous vehicles are deployed to explore such areas where human-operated vehicles would be costly or dangerous. Online control of autonomous vehicles for information-gathering is called adaptive sampling and can be framed as a POMDP that uses information gain as its principal objective. While prior work focuses largely on single-agent scenarios, this paper confronts challenges unique to multi-agent adaptive sampling, such as avoiding redundant observations, preventing vehicle collision, and facilitating path planning under limited communication. We start with Multi-Agent Path Finding (MAPF) methods, which address collision avoidance by decomposing the MAPF problem into a series of single-agent path planning problems. We then present information-driven MAPF which addresses multi-agent information gain under limited communication. First, we introduce an admissible heuristic that relaxes mutual information gain to an additive function that can be evaluated as a set of independent single agent path planning problems. Second, we extend our approach to a distributed system that is robust to limited communication. When all agents are in range, the group plans jointly to maximize information. When some agents move out of range, communicating subgroups are formed and the subgroups plan independently. Since redundant observations are less likely when vehicles are far apart, this approach only incurs a small loss in information gain, resulting in an approach that gracefully transitions from full to partial communication. We evaluate our method against other adaptive sampling strategies across various scenarios, including real-world robotic applications. Our method was able to locate up to 200% more unique phenomena in certain scenarios, and each agent located its first unique phenomenon faster by up to 50%.

Learning fine-scale details of a coastal ocean simulation from a coarse representation is a challenging task. For real-world applications, high-resolution simulations are necessary to advance understanding of many coastal processes, specifically, to predict flooding resulting from tsunamis and storm surges. We propose a Deep Network for Coastal Super-Resolution (DNCSR) for spatiotemporal enhancement to efficiently learn the high-resolution numerical solution. Given images of coastal simulations produced on low-resolution computational meshes using low polynomial order discontinuous Galerkin discretizations and a coarse temporal resolution, the proposed DNCSR learns to produce high-resolution free surface elevation and velocity visualizations in both time and space. To efficiently model the dynamic changes over time and space, we propose grid-aware spatiotemporal attention to project the temporal features to the spatial domain for non-local feature matching. The coordinate information is also utilized via positional encoding. For the final reconstruction, we use the spatiotemporal bilinear operation to interpolate the missing frames and then expand the feature maps to the frequency domain for residual mapping. Besides data-driven losses, the proposed physics-informed loss guarantees gradient consistency and momentum changes. Their combination contributes to the overall 24% improvements in RMSE. To train the proposed model, we propose a large-scale coastal simulation dataset and use it for model optimization and evaluation. Our method shows superior super-resolution quality and fast computation compared to the state-of-the-art methods.

Storm surge is a major natural hazard in coastal regions, responsible both for significant property damage and loss of life. Accurate, efficient models of storm surge are needed both to assess long-term risk and to guide emergency management decisions. While high-fidelity regional- and global-ocean circulation models such as the ADvanced CIRCulation (ADCIRC) model can accurately predict storm surge, they are very computationally expensive. Here we develop a novel surrogate model for peak storm surge prediction based on a multi-stage approach. In the first stage, points are classified as inundated or not. In the second, the level of inundation is predicted . Additionally, we propose a new formulation of the surrogate problem in which storm surge is predicted independently for each point. This allows for predictions to be made directly for locations not present in the training data, and significantly reduces the number of model parameters. We demonstrate our modeling framework on two study areas: the Texas coast and the northern portion of the Alaskan coast. For Texas, the model is trained with a database of 446 synthetic hurricanes. The model is able to accurately match ADCIRC predictions on a test set of synthetic storms. We further present a test of the model on Hurricanes Ike (2008) and Harvey (2017). For Alaska, the model is trained on a dataset of 109 historical surge events. We test the surrogate model on actual surge events including the recent Typhoon Merbok (2022) that take place after the events in the training data. For both datasets, the surrogate model achieves similar performance to ADCIRC on real events when compared to observational data. In both cases, the surrogate models are many orders of magnitude faster than ADCIRC.

The objective of this study is to create and test a hybrid deep learning model, FastGRNN-FCN (Fast, Accurate, Stable and Tiny Gated Recurrent Neural Network-Fully Convolutional Network), for urban flood prediction and situation awareness using channel network sensors data. The study used Harris County, Texas as the testbed, and obtained channel sensor data from three historical flood events (e.g., 2016 Tax Day Flood, 2016 Memorial Day flood, and 2017 Hurricane Harvey Flood) for training and validating the hybrid deep learning model. The flood data are divided into a multivariate time series and used as the model input. Each input comprises nine variables, including information of the studied channel sensor and its predecessor and successor sensors in the channel network. Precision-recall curve and F-measure are used to identify the optimal set of model parameters. The optimal model with a weight of 1 and a critical threshold of 0.59 are obtained through one hundred iterations based on examining different weights and thresholds. The test accuracy and F-measure eventually reach 97.8% and 0.792, respectively. The model is then tested in predicting the 2019 Imelda flood in Houston and the results show an excellent match with the empirical flood. The results show that the model enables accurate prediction of the spatial-temporal flood propagation and recession and provides emergency response officials with a predictive flood warning tool for prioritizing the flood response and resource allocation strategies.

The dynamic nature of air quality chemistry and transport makes it difficult to identify the mixture of air pollutants for a region. In this study of air quality in the Houston metropolitan area we apply dynamic principal component analysis (DPCA) to a normalized multivariate time series of daily concentration measurements of five pollutants (O3, CO, NO2, SO2, PM2.5) from January 1, 2009 through December 31, 2011 for each of the 24 hours in a day. The resulting dynamic components are examined by hour across days for the 3 year period. Diurnal and seasonal patterns are revealed underlining times when DPCA performs best and two principal components (PCs) explain most variability in the multivariate series. DPCA is shown to be superior to static principal component analysis (PCA) in discovery of linear relations among transformed pollutant measurements. DPCA captures the time-dependent correlation structure of the underlying pollutants recorded at up to 34 monitoring sites in the region. In winter mornings the first principal component (PC1) (mainly CO and NO2) explains up to 70% of variability. Augmenting with the second principal component (PC2) (mainly driven by SO2) the explained variability rises to 90%. In the afternoon, O3 gains prominence in the second principal component. The seasonal profile of PCs' contribution to variance loses its distinction in the afternoon, yet cumulatively PC1 and PC2 still explain up to 65% of variability in ambient air data. DPCA provides a strategy for identifying the changing air quality profile for the region studied.

A robot assistant lifeguard called EMILY is making waves by helping migrants cross the Mediterranean Sea safely. In the wake of unrest, over 500 refugees have drowned attempting to cross the Mediterranean from Turkey to Greece. Members from the Texas A&M Engineering Experiment Station's (TEES) Center for Robot-Assisted Search and Rescue (CRASAR) and Roboticists Without Borders gathered at the Greek island of Lesvos to assist the local Coast Guard and lifeguard organizations to prevent this from happening in the future. Dr. Robin Murphy, Raytheon Professor in the Department of Computer Science and Engineering at Texas A&M University, aided authorities in Lesvos alongside CRASAR, of which she is an active member. She is working with students to continually improve the lifesaving device, which can carry up to eight people at once.